Heatwave Horror
Here we go again. Yet another heatwave here in London. And, with the Met Office forecasting 34C, it’s very likely
Continue readingTim Joslin's Blog
Here we go again. Yet another heatwave here in London. And, with the Met Office forecasting 34C, it’s very likely
Continue readingThe Chancellor could have subsidised energy prices directly, which would not only have reduced inflation (depending how the ONS deals
Continue readingData presented at recent Downing Street press conferences appears to understate the effectiveness of vaccination at preventing hospitalisation with Covid-19.
Continue readingIn my previous post I mused that: “…if the seasonal effect is not extreme, the UK might achieve sustained herd
Continue readingDefinition When would we be able to say that a region or country has achieved “herd immunity” to a contagious
Continue reading“…’cos I wanna be… herd immunity!” with apologies to the Pistols (00:29) The ongoing Covid epidemic in the UK will
Continue readingThe Sunday Times Insight team reported yesterday (paywall) that the UK could have avoided thousands of Covid-19 deaths by going
Continue readingThe epidemiological concept of the basic reproduction number for an infection, R0, is so context-dependent as to be almost useless,
Continue readingVery simple modelling shows the case and death rate in an epidemic, such as of Covid-19, to be highly sensitive
Continue readingLet me try to make a single point very briefly (for once). If you’re trying to manage an epidemic, an
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