April 2020 – Uncharted Territory

Covid-19: How Useful Are R and R0?

The epidemiological concept of the basic reproduction number for an infection, R0, is so context-dependent as to be almost useless,

When I arrived at university I wanted to specialise in genetics; by the time I left I wished I’d focussed

Very simple modelling shows the case and death rate in an epidemic, such as of Covid-19, to be highly sensitive