Partygate: How it Started and Why it Matters
The lax approach to Covid laws in Downing Street wasn’t just an affront to the law-abiding public unable to see
Continue readingTag: UK epidemic
Covid-19: On the Waning Effectiveness of Vaccines
Data presented at recent Downing Street press conferences appears to understate the effectiveness of vaccination at preventing hospitalisation with Covid-19.
Continue readingCovid-19: How Seasonal is it?
In my previous post I mused that: “…if the seasonal effect is not extreme, the UK might achieve sustained herd
Continue readingOn Herd Immunity
Definition When would we be able to say that a region or country has achieved “herd immunity” to a contagious
Continue readingCovid-19: Herd Immunity in the UK
“…’cos I wanna be… herd immunity!” with apologies to the Pistols (00:29) The ongoing Covid epidemic in the UK will
Continue readingCovid-19: Reported Deaths Aren’t Currently Exceeding Actual Deaths!
I can become irrationally angry when I hear “experts” spouting crap in the media. There is such distrust of authority
Continue readingCovid-19: Effect on R of Household Size
This short post makes a simple arithmetical point. I’ll be referring to it later. Imagine a world where everyone has
Continue readingHow Bad is the Covid-19 Second Wave in England?
Scarcely a day goes by without fresh statistics on the number of Covid-19 infections in the UK. This morning saw
Continue readingCovid-19: The UK’s Loose Lockdown
The Sunday Times Insight team reported yesterday (paywall) that the UK could have avoided thousands of Covid-19 deaths by going
Continue readingCovid-19: Did Whitty Mislead the Parliamentary Select Committee?
On Friday I posted what was intended to be a short critique of the UK’s coronavirus plan. We need to
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