On Herd Immunity
Definition When would we be able to say that a region or country has achieved “herd immunity” to a contagious
Continue readingTim Joslin's Blog
Definition When would we be able to say that a region or country has achieved “herd immunity” to a contagious
Continue reading“…’cos I wanna be… herd immunity!” with apologies to the Pistols (00:29) The ongoing Covid epidemic in the UK will
Continue readingI can become irrationally angry when I hear “experts” spouting crap in the media. There is such distrust of authority
Continue readingThis short post makes a simple arithmetical point. I’ll be referring to it later. Imagine a world where everyone has
Continue readingScarcely a day goes by without fresh statistics on the number of Covid-19 infections in the UK. This morning saw
Continue readingThe Sunday Times Insight team reported yesterday (paywall) that the UK could have avoided thousands of Covid-19 deaths by going
Continue readingThe epidemiological concept of the basic reproduction number for an infection, R0, is so context-dependent as to be almost useless,
Continue readingWhen I arrived at university I wanted to specialise in genetics; by the time I left I wished I’d focussed
Continue readingVery simple modelling shows the case and death rate in an epidemic, such as of Covid-19, to be highly sensitive
Continue readingSo, back near the dawn of time, it seems, I posted a discussion of how Professor Chris Whitty, the UK’s
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