Category: Healthcare

How Bad is the Covid-19 Second Wave in England?

Scarcely a day goes by without fresh statistics on the number of Covid-19 infections in the UK. This morning saw

The Sunday Times Insight team reported yesterday (paywall) that the UK could have avoided thousands of Covid-19 deaths by going

The epidemiological concept of the basic reproduction number for an infection, R0, is so context-dependent as to be almost useless,

When I arrived at university I wanted to specialise in genetics; by the time I left I wished I’d focussed

Very simple modelling shows the case and death rate in an epidemic, such as of Covid-19, to be highly sensitive

So, back near the dawn of time, it seems, I posted a discussion of how Professor Chris Whitty, the UK’s

It is of crucial importance for governments to make an assessment as early as possible in an epidemic as to

Let me try to make a single point very briefly (for once). If you’re trying to manage an epidemic, an

A test for antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 does not have to be extremely reliable at the individual level in order to

“You are stupide!! Nous sommes en guerre! Nous sommes en guerre! President Macron, slightly paraphrased. We will fight Covid-19 in